On Bauer Business Focus — A conversation on sabermetrics with Houston Public Media News 88.7 Business Reporter Andrew Schneider.
Wayne Winston, Decision & Information Sciences Clinical Assistant Professor at the C. T. Bauer College of Business at the University of Houston, has revolutionized the way analysis is done for basketball. Using sabermetrics, a tool to analyze baseball, Winston and his colleague Jeff Sagarin have developed a method based on how players change the score of the game to analyze players.
Winston recently stopped by Bauer Business Focus recently to discuss his experience in the mathematical analysis of sports.
“A really great basketball player during a 48 minute game would change the game 10 points in favor of his team, and a really bad player would change it five points against his team,” Winston said. “This lets us capture defense, but I still think a work in progress is trying to measure how good a basketball player is on defense. I think nobody’s really figured that out yet.”
Winston uses his expertise to teach a class on sports and math at Bauer. With March Madness coming up, Winston will be focusing on it in class and in his research.
“Usually when you run the odds on the final four right before the tournament begins, you would find out one team has over 20 percent chance to win and nobody else has over a 10 percent chance to win,” Winston said. “So, the team that I’ve got with a 25 or 26 percent chance to win at this point is Arizona.”
Click here to hear the full interview.